According to the basic alternative of Helsinki City Executive Office’s latest population forecast, Helsinki’s population figure will reach 650,000 this year, and by 2050 no less than 822,000. According to the Fast Growth alternative Helsinki would, by 2050, have 860,000 inhabitants.
A new population projection has been made for Helsinki and the Helsinki Region, extending up until 2050. A projection for the various sub-districts of Helsinki extends up until 2030. Both have been made for the Swedish-language population, too.
Annual population growth in Helsinki between 7,000 and 8,000
The annual population growth in Helsinki is expected at 7,000 – 8,000 up until the 2030s. Subsequently, population growth becomes slower as the number of deaths increases. In the new forecast, figures in the basic alternative are at clearly higher a level than in the previous forecast, since construction opportunities remain good and housing demand is expected to remain focused on city-like areas.
More small children, school-age children and senior citizens
The number of children of early childhood education age started to grow ten years ago. This increase is expected to continue into the early 2030s. The number of children of compulsory school age started to increase in the early 2010s, and that increase is expected to continue well into the latter half of the 2030s.
Due to falling birth rates, the age group entering the early childhood education age is growing slower and slower today. Nonetheless, the age group is forecast to grow by almost 500 annually during the 2020. The number of children of compulsory school age is set to grow very rapidly in the next few years, by no less than 1,500 annually.
The number of retired people, i.e. over 65 year olds, is set to grow annually by over two thousand up until the early 2030, and that of over 75 year olds by up to 3,000 per annum during the first half of the 2020s. The number of people of working age is expected to grow at the same rate as today up until the 2030s. A considerable part of this increase comes from immigration.
Strongest increase in Jätkäsaari, Kalasatama, Kruunuvuorenranta and Pasila
In the district-by-district forecast extending up until 2030, population growth will be strongest in the large developments in Jätkäsaari and the Kalasatama-Sompasaari zone, in Kruunuvuorenranta and the rest of Laajasalo, as well as in Pasila. These areas will account for over half of Helsinki’s population growth of 90,000 during the following 12 years. Other areas with significant population growth include Kuninkaantammi, Malmin lentokenttä, the Patola-Veräjämäki area, Hernesaari, Koskela, Herttoniemi’s industrial zone and Mellunmäki.
Almost 40,000 Swedish-speaking by 2030
In the 2010s, Helsinki’s Swedish-speaking population has grown by 1,160, reaching 36,200 this year, and is set to reach 38,300 by 2030. There will be more Swedish-speaking children than today of both early childhood education age and school age. Swedish-speaking children are increasing as today, in families where the mother has some other mother tongue than Swedish, the children are mostly registered as Swedish-speaking.
The number of Swedish-speaking residents is set to grow particularly in the Southern, the Central and the South-Eastern major districts. By 2030, this increase is expected at 700-800 each in the Southern and the Central, and almost 500 in the South-Eastern Major District. The large developments in Jätkäsaari, Kalasatama and Laajasalo are, especially, expected to attract Swedish-speaking residents, too.
More about the subject:
System Manager Pekka Vuori, , +358 9 310 36300, firstname.lastname@example.org
Pekka Vuori and Marjo Kaasila: Helsingin ja Helsingin seudun väestöennuste
2018–2050. Ennuste alueittain 2018–2030, Helsinki City Executive Office’s statistics 2018:18, pdf-publication.