Picture text: Helsinki population growth 2019–2035. The size of bullet reflects projected population growth: the large bullet reflects growth of 13,000, the mid-sized bullet growth of 6,500, and the small bullet growth of 1,300 in 2019–2035. Projected development of Meri-Rastila to change.
The population growth of Helsinki is projected
to remain below 5,000 in the current year, while the average annual population
growth has been 7,000 in the 2010s. Growth is projected to return close to normal
next year, and the population of Helsinki is projected to exceed 700,000 in
The projections are made in the latest publication issued by the Helsinki City Executive Office on population projections for Helsinki and the Helsinki region from 2020 to 2060 and on the population projection for Helsinki by area to 2035.
According to the base case scenario, the population of Helsinki will grow from the current 653,835 to 700,000 by 2027. Total population will be 820,000 in 2050 and increase to 860,000 by 2060. The high growth scenario projects growth to be 90,000 more, and the low growth scenario 60,000 less, than in the base case scenario by 2060.
Because of the coronavirus pandemic, Helsinki’s population growth will remain below 5,000 this year but, according to the base case scenario, growth is expected to return close to normal next year. Helsinki’s average annual population growth is projected to be 6,250 in 2021–2030, while average annual growth was 7,000 in the 2010s.
According to the base case scenario, the population of the Helsinki region will grow to two million by 2056. At the end of 2019, the population of the region was 1.51 million.
Fertility rate projected to remain unchanged, school-aged and elderly sub-populations to grow
The number of children in early-childhood-education age is projected to drop by one thousand by the year 2022, and their number is projected to return to the current level only in 2026. However, the number of comprehensive-school-aged children and teenagers is projected to grow by 5,500 by the year 2025.
The number of 65–74-year-olds grew in the 2010s, but the growth has levelled out, whereas the number of residents aged 75 and older is growing rapidly. In only ten years, the number of residents aged 75 and older is projected to grow by 22,000, that is, by more than 50 percent.
Helsinki is projected to lose 3,000–3,500 residents per year to the other municipalities of the Helsinki region as a result of migration inside the region. These numbers correspond to the average levels of 2000–2019.'
Helsinki’s main growth areas are in Jätkäsaari, Kalasatama,
Kruunuvuorenranta and Pasila
The main growth in Helsinki, according to the population growth projection by area extending to 2035, will take place in large new development areas in Kalasatama, Pasila, Kruunuvuorenranta and elsewhere in Laajasalo, and Jätkäsaari.
Other growth areas comprise Vuosaari, the area of the former Malmi airport, Hernesaari, and the Lauttasaari–Koivusaari area.
Projection for Swedish-speaking population
The Swedish-speaking population of Helsinki, totalling 36,500, is projected to increase to 42,000 by 2050. Nevertheless, the percentage of this sub-population of the total is projected to decline from the current 5.6 percent to 5.2 percent. The number of Swedish-speaking children of early-childhood-education age will also decline somewhat in the next few years but return to the current level in the late 2020s. Growth in the numbers of comprehensive-school-aged children and teenagers will peak by 2024.
The number of Swedish-speaking residents is projected to grow especially in the central, southern and southeastern greater districts of Helsinki.